Fastwong
2590
Wow, what a great write up! NYC commercial spaces should keep getting cheaper, maybe a great time to start thinking about a new AD! I'm happy to work the floor :)
All great points and I can't believe how bad NYC AD's are! While I'm not sure there's room for a another Patek AD in NYC, if Patek creates the space I though we could have one that out services and out competes the rest... easily. I've never had a good experience at any PP AD in NYC, mostly they are empty of watches to see and the SAs are all hiding not wanting to talk to another rando off the street that won't get a watch.
All that said, I wonder if the AD model for Patek is even viable going forward. As long as PP watches are comingled with other brands in the same space ADs are going to be tempted to pull all sorts of shenanigans and PP can't deliver enough watches / door for these AD's to run dedicated brand boutiques and invest in a great experience until they close a bunch of them. If I were an existing AD (or potential AD

) even if you make it past this round of culling, I would be worried that eventually they are going to go all in house like AP anyway. In NYC PP has 5 ADs compared to AP's two locations (not sure how much AP house counts, maybe 1.5). PP probably only needs two locations to cover all of NYC and at that point, shouldn't they be owned brand boutiques? If I were Stern I would use my AD doors as my test subjects, shrink and juggle them until I like the locations and number of doors, and then consider swapping them out for owned boutiques. Going direct then creates the margin to make the investments in training, clientelling, servicing, marketing, location, build out etc.
I have a hard time imagining a future where PP benefits from selling through a multi-brand retailer. AP has proven they can move 40k units through their owned channels, I don't think it's a stretch to think PP could figure out 60k. I know Stern says he wants to focus on the watch making and stores are hard, but even if they don't come away with any more profit because it all gets eaten by store operations and real estate, at least then they will own their customers and have full control over their brand experience.... and I think that's the key. If I'm Stern and counting on PP owners to be life long customers to feed the machine for the next round of nepo baby Sterns, I probably want to have a direct relationship with the people wearing my watches and remove any risk from 3rd parties like ADs getting in the way of that.