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Patek Philippe

I truly believe that the Sterns could afford to open a Patek Philippe Salon in NYC.

 

Fastwong, you know what you're talking about!  Geneva, Paris, and London...  The three Salons...  Yes, they're very expensive to operate.  But they really give the Sterns a lot of control over the brand and the customer experience.  NYC, being such a large market, could benefit from a Patek Philippe Salon - if run right.  NYC's existing Patek Philippe dealers aren't universally loved and definitely have a lot of room for improvement.  Tiffany & Co. has a nice operation, but the staff have half a food in the Patek Philippe world, and yet still have to sit through trainings for the jewelry side...  Wempe has a charming General Manager for the past decade or two, but New Yorkers have always been mixed about Wempe.  Some like them, some don't.  I'm not based in NYC, so I don't have an opinion.  And Time Machine is just a machine, the staff I've met are not knowledgeable in my experience and have a lot of room for improvement.  I'd say Patek Philippe could consider owning a corporate-run Salon in NYC if they can find a great team and an outgoing manager who really plans to be at that store for at least a decade.  Ideally, the manager for that store shouldn't be a "manager" but a leader.  If he gets the right team, he won't have to do a lot of management - just leading the team.  Considering the size of the NYC market, it is big enough to justify the investment of a corporate run store.  And that corporate run store should have enough revenue to be profitable.  I can easily see that store doing $40M a year (conservatively, in a mediocre year, much more in a good year if there's enough product) and that should be enough to justify a store - I'd have to run more analysis and get more comps.  Patek Philippe watches are around 2-4% of the entire revenue at T&CO.  The 10K is getting harder and harder to read what section is watches.  The watches are grouped into other home accessories as well, this accounts for around 6% of the total revenue.  T&CO branded watches are around 1% of the revenue.   Thus, I would estimate 2-4% of the revenue is in Patek Philippe watches.  They've also gone from 6 stores selling Patek Philippe down to 1 store.  And now with LVMH taking over, there's going to be even less public data as LVMH won't break this down very clearly at all.  Thus 2-4% of 4 Billion in revenue translates to $80M-160M.  Thus, a Patek Philippe Salon in NYC could possibly do over $200M in revenue a year in a good year!  I think it'd be a smart move.  And with 5 stores in Manhattan, 9 in the immediate metro area, and 11 if you count an hour radius from Manhattan...  I'd say there's a lot of potential here.  

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