Can I add some views about the prognosis of this crisis?

Mar 27, 2020,00:10 AM
 

There are two facts existing at the moment:

a) the whole crisis is over when something against the SARS COV2 virus is found as a remedy.
Whether a medicine to take like a pill or an inocculation.
If we are lucky an exsisting and already used drug might be effective and could be used off licences.
If not and the remedy has to be developed from scratch, then it will take positively thinking another year or two.

b) the remedy will not come.
Then the strategy and only option is to let all people in a country have an infection, which will lead to a "herd immunisation".
For that immunisation 60-70% of the population has to go through Covid19.

During the immusisation/infection of all people the goal is to keep as few as possible new infections in the population, in order that the hospitals can simply cope with the number of severe cases.

That manageable number is 40.000 new infections per day here in Germany.
If 60 million (70%) of all German have to have Covid19, it would take 1.500 days.
That would also mean that a few hundreds of thousand people have died in Germany.

That is how it looks like at the moment.
Things can unexpectedly change on a daily basis.

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Useful info on virus

 
 By: cazalea : March 26th, 2020-15:12
USEFUL INFORMATION * THE VIRUS IS NOT ALIVE; it is not a living organism, but a protein molecule (DNA) covered by a protective layer of lipid (fat), which, when absorbed by the cells of the eyes, nose or mouth (ocular, nasal or buccal) mucosa, changes the...  

Useful information Mike...

 
 By: Cpt Scarlet : March 26th, 2020-15:18
I hope that you and your family are keeping well and staying safe.

So far so good, thanks

 
 By: cazalea : March 26th, 2020-15:33
Odds are good 297/3300000 =.00009 infected

I love the photo 🙏 [nt]

 
 By: Cpt Scarlet : March 27th, 2020-05:29

Thanks, Mike. [nt]

 
 By: amanico : March 26th, 2020-15:58

Good to know! [nt]

 
 By: patrick_y : March 26th, 2020-17:29

I should have found a way to charge

 
 By: cazalea : March 26th, 2020-19:12
for editing and organizing the information. It was a bit convoluted before (possibly written by an Italian?) Cheers, Cazalea

Thanks Mike!

 
 By: kkochheiser : March 26th, 2020-20:02
So I should stay in Arizona (warm, bright, lots of uv, low humidity and open windows). Sadly we are headed back to Ohio tomorrow which is none of these things. Sigh. Kent

Can I add some views about the prognosis of this crisis?

 
 By: COUNT DE MONET : March 27th, 2020-00:10
There are two facts existing at the moment: a) the whole crisis is over when something against the SARS COV2 virus is found as a remedy. Whether a medicine to take like a pill or an inocculation. If we are lucky an exsisting and already used drug might be... 

Thank you for the useful information. I have forwarded it to my families and friends.

 
 By: hoseachandra : March 27th, 2020-02:33
Lets hope this situation will get better after 1-2 months.

thanks [nt]

 
 By: Passionata_george : March 27th, 2020-03:42

The spirits might not work on the virus itself

 
 By: TheMadDruid : March 27th, 2020-10:04
but it sure works on the spirits. Of the victim. You know?

Awesome! [nt]

 
 By: aris d : March 27th, 2020-11:48