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Girard Perregaux

The SWISS do need to be very careful

 

I have been saying for the last 3 years that no see a second crisis coming for them.

It is happening now.

Even the initial “quartz crisis” was not actually a crisis about quartz vs mechanical. It was a crisis of Swiss archaic manufacturing practices. They just could not verticalise and rationalise their supply chain.

So yes, this is an opportunity for other countries to take over. But is the business itself worth getting into at this stage?

I really am not sure where the luxury watch industry will be in 20 years. It could take the route of the musical box and fountain pen industry. Never say never.

China has the expertise and they already supply much of finished parts to Switzerland to stamp “Swiss Made” on them and still in on their rather disingenuous laws that require only 60% of ALL manufacturing costs to be of Swiss origin. To be clear for some, this bows not mean that 60% of the watch is made in Switzerland. It could be 90 % if the watch is made OUTSIDE of Switzerland but as long as 60% of production costs comes from a Swiss origin, then all good.

If total watch production cost is $100 and 90% if the watch comes from China at a cost of $20 and 10% comes from Switzerland at a cost of $80 (assembly and QA) then this means that 80% of the watch cost of production is Swiss.

Scary but true.

Smoke and mirrors.

🤝

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