going to trade pieces or pay with cash etc. My understanding is that if you are not ready to loose maybe all the money that you paid for the watch, if the money / value that you are keeping in that watch is worrisome for you, you shouldn’t be buying that watch. Other than that I don’t think anyone here can tell you anything about the future price of that said watch, nobody knows, people can make educated guesses but you already know market prices / rarity of the watch, your guess is as good as anyone here.